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Captain Pick Analyzer

Gameweek 37

How the Captain Score is calculated (click to expand)
Stage 1 - Baseline (48%)
Form (32%) + Fixture (27%) + PPG (16%) + Home (9%) + Availability (4%) + Minutes Reliability (12%)
Stage 2 - Explosiveness (30%)
xGI per 90 (40%) + Role ICT Score (30%) + xGI Ceiling Blend (30%: 60% recent level + 40% trend delta), multiplied by Set Piece boost (up to 1.25x)
Stage 3 - Control & Bonus (12%)
Clean Sheet prediction (xGC), Bonus/BPS history, DreamTeam, DEFCON - position-tiered weights
Volatility Penalty (max -5pts)
Cards per 90 over last 5 GWs - penalizes booking-prone players
Value Regression (±5pts)
value_form / value_season ratio detects overperformance (mild penalty) or underperformance (mild boost)
Full Rankings (5 viable captain picks)
#1 B.Fernandes PEN SP+25%
MID | MUN | £10.4m | 47.5% owned
79.8
Captain Score
GW37 Fixture: NFO(H) HOME
Last 5: 21pts (0G 4A) xGI/90: 0.68 xGC/90: 1.32 Mins: 400/450 (88.9%) Bonus: 37 BPS: 908 DreamTeam: 7 DEFCON/90: 8.61 Reg +5
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW324 GW336 GW345 GW355 GW361
Base 61.2 Expl 133 Ctrl 83.7 Vol -4.5 Reg +5
#2 Saka PEN SP+20%
MID | ARS | £9.9m | 11% owned
75.5
Captain Score
GW37 Fixture: BUR(H) HOME
Last 5: 12pts (1G 1A) xGI/90: 0.61 xGC/90: 0.63 Mins: 54/450 (12%) Bonus: 16 BPS: 545 DreamTeam: 3 DEFCON/90: 7.38
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW320 GW330 GW341 GW3511 GW360
Base 57.8 Expl 122 Ctrl 92.6 Vol -0
#3 Thiago SP+5%
FWD | BRE | £7.3m | 32% owned
73.7
Captain Score
GW37 Fixture: CRY(H) HOME
Last 5: 22pts (3G 0A) xGI/90: 0.66 xGC/90: 1.36 Mins: 360/450 (80%) Bonus: 22 BPS: 694 DreamTeam: 6 DEFCON/90: 5.86 Reg +5
Minutes (Last 5 GW)
Form (Last 5 GW)
GW3213 GW332 GW341 GW356 GW360
Base 57.8 Expl 107.6 Ctrl 92.7 Vol -2.5 Reg +5
4 Gyökeres SP+5% 72.5
FWD | ARS | £8.9m | 15.1% owned BUR(H) HOME
Last 5 GW23pts (3G 1A)
xGI/90 | xGC/900.59 | 0.68
Minutes Reliability215/450 (47.8%)
Bonus | BPS | DreamTeam16 | 462 | 4
DEFCON/903.3
Regression+5
Base 65.6 Expl 98.2 Ctrl 89.1 Vol -4.2
5 Haaland PEN SP+15% 71.9
FWD | MCI | £14.7m | 64.3% owned BOU(A) AWAY
Last 5 GW16pts (2G 0A)
xGI/90 | xGC/900.85 | 1.18
Minutes Reliability270/450 (60%)
Bonus | BPS | DreamTeam38 | 877 | 10
DEFCON/903.18
Regression+5
Base 39.7 Expl 123 Ctrl 91.4 Vol -0